This is my final prediction...I think George Allen, James Talent, and Bob Corker will all squeak out victories in these "red" states. Chafee, Burns, and Kean will all lose, but not by much. However, Santorum and DeWine are doomed, and I see both losing by >10 points. Lieberman should win CT easily, as he has led ever poll since wining the primary.

Similar to previous projections, only that I believe the situation has worsened for Mike DeWine of Ohio and Lincoln Chafee of RI, both of which I now have as going Democratic. However, I still believe the GOP will hold onto MO, VA, and TN.

Updated to reflect recent polls, and the Lamont victory in the CT primary. Lamont already trails Lieberman, and in the end, I see Lieberman winning by double-digits, especially if the CT GOP deserts their own candidate and aids Lieberman. Missouri and Ohio will be narrow, and currently are tilting Democrat, although its too early to tell. Pennsylvania looks better for Santorum, but he's still well behind. Lastly, Chafee trails in part because of his fight with Laffey. If Chafee wins the primary (which I expect,) I think he will eek out a victory.

Updated to reflect more recent polls. PA seems a likely gain for the Dems, with Santorum's numbers remaining in the dumpster. MT and MO are also leaning Democratic, but both will be close, as will the race in NJ, due to Corzine's unpopularity.

Despite the low popularity of President Bush, only 13 of the 33 seats up for re-election are held by Republicans. Since most of those races are lop-sided, the chances of a Democratic takeover in the Senate are slim (although the House is a real possibility.) I predict that James Talent and Rick Santorum will lose their bids for re-relction, although Conrad Burns will hold on, largely due to the fact that Montana is a strongly Republican state.

 By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-11-02 @ 00:02:08

I would say that it looks pretty good for a final prediction. The only thing keeping me from making my final is the wierd stuff going on in Virginia now. Hopefully in a few days we will see if Webb or Allen stabilize.

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