Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-03 Version:3

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-6
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	27	49
Republican	9	40	49
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	33	21

Comments

Democrats pick-up Pennsylvania, Ohio and Rhode Island for sure. They'll win Montana, Missouri and Virginia by close margins

Democrats will pick-up between 3 and 6 Senate seats and lose no seats to the Republicans. They'll hold New Jersey and Maryland by relatively narrow margins

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 2

Just one change. I'm predicting Joe Lieberman to win in Connecticut as an Independent

Version: 1

Two Dem pick-ups Montana and Pennsylvania

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	48/56	24/56	72/112	64.3%	1	39	527	T	678
2008 President	52/56	37/56	89/112	79.5%	2	8	247	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	21/33	54/66	81.8%	3	4	65	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	21/36	55/72	76.4%	3	4	71	T	312
2004 President	51/56	33/56	84/112	75.0%	16	21	834	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	218/237	136/237	354/474	74.7%

Links

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