PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - byelf2007 (D-WA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-04 Version:27

Prediction Map
byelf2007 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
byelf2007 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Tos1
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+60+60-1-114216+5
Rep000-60-6819-6
Ind0+1+1000011+1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic222749
Republican94049
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
603327
piepiepie

Comments

Comprehensive update.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 26

Ug, I was pretty out of date there.


Version: 11

Well shit. Looks like the Dems could do some serious damage here. Doubt they'll get all 6 of my battlegrounds, but hey.


Version: 8

Yup.


Version: 6

Texas competitive?


Version: 5

I doubt the Dems will get all 5 toss-ups. Know what I'm saying?


Version: 4

Updated Pennsylvania.


Version: 3

Updated Pennsylvania.


Version: 2

Updated Ohio.


Version: 1

Some of these races are definitely toss-ups. Others I'm not going to be very sure about until we get more polling data.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2008 President 52/56 39/56 91/112 81.3% pie 40 0 200T1,505
P 2008 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 1 28 204T407
P 2008 Governor 9/11 9/11 18/22 81.8% pie 2 0 50T264
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 27/33 60/66 90.9% pie 27 3 3T465
P 2006 Governor 34/36 23/36 57/72 79.2% pie 30 3 50T312
Aggregate Predictions 158/169 115/169 273/338 80.8% pie


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