Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-05 Version:15

Prediction Map

Smash255 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Smash255 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-6
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	27	49
Republican	9	40	49
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
57	33	24

Comments

I think it will be closer than most the polls indicate, but TN looks like it will go in Corker's favor at the moment.

NJ is lean

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	32/36	25/36	57/72	79.2%		3	4	82	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	14/36	45/72	62.5%		2	1	145	T	300
2012 President	56/56	46/56	102/112	91.1%		1	2	47	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	22/33	54/66	81.8%		1	2	40	T	343
2010 Senate	34/37	24/37	58/74	78.4%		4	1	86	T	456
2010 Governor	37/37	26/37	63/74	85.1%		2	1	11	T	312
2008 President	54/56	46/56	100/112	89.3%		16	2	13	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	20/33	53/66	80.3%		4	2	57	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	10/11	21/22	95.5%		2	2	3	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	158	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	24/33	57/66	86.4%		15	2	20	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		10	1	44	T	312
2004 President	49/56	33/56	82/112	73.2%		2	139	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	440/463	315/463	755/926	81.5%

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