Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-07 Version:3

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	12
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	10
Ind	2
Tos	4
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+3	0	+3	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+2
Rep	0	0	0	-3	0	-3	11	1	12	-3
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	27	46
Republican	12	40	52
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
42	30	12

Comments

WOW- how fast things change...

MT ---- REP burns may squeak it out thanks to Pelosi, Kerry, scare - event though that is the house, people are very fearful of both houses going to DEMS
MO--- DEM this was a tough one, looks like he lost ground- could go either way
TN - GOP like I said - I know Tenn - Memphis liberal (claiming to be moderate) did not fly
NJ - I think the anti GOP/Bush appetite has overcome the scandel DEM
VA - close, but I think you will see record turnout from conservatives - Pelosi - Kerry - Clinton effect. GOP
MD - Has a shot, it will depend on how strong the minority vote is for Steele and how anti Bush people are feeling - I marked it as a loss but it could easily be a win
OH - DEM -loss for GOP
PA - DEM - loss for GOP
RI - REP - complete toss up here due to Chafee recent surge- I think people feel Chafee speaks his mind and represents the mood in RI very well - however, 50/50
CT- IND easy win for Lieberman

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	12/33	42/66	63.6%	3	0	346	T	465
Aggregate Predictions	30/33	12/33	42/66	63.6%

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