Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-07 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	10
Ind	1
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	10
Ind	1
Tos	8
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+5
Rep	0	+1	+1	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-5
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	27	49
Republican	10	40	50
Independent	1	0	1

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
43	32	11

Comments

This is my take on it ;)

Member Comments

By: Rock_nj (D-NJ) - 2006-11-07 @ 10:36:01

Looks good. That's exactly how I picked it. The mostly likely outcome today.

By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-07 @ 10:41:35

What's up with VT?

By: Rock_nj (D-NJ) - 2006-11-07 @ 10:43:28

Doh! I missed that. VT going Republican for Senate this year. That is not at all likely. A very popular local Candidate is running: Bernie Sanders, who represented VT for a long time in the House. Sanders will win easily. Perhaps an oversight?

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	11/33	43/66	65.2%	1	0	328	T	465
Aggregate Predictions	32/33	11/33	43/66	65.2%

Links

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