Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-09-02 Version:1

Prediction Map

oaksmarts Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

oaksmarts Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	8
Ind	1
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	7
Ind	1
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+7	0	+7	0	0	0	14	3	17	+7
Rep	0	0	0	-7	0	-7	7	1	8	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	24	27	51
Republican	8	40	48
Independent	1	0	1

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
51	31	20

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	51/56	28/56	79/112	70.5%		2	524	537	T	1,505
2008 Dem Primary	34/52	3/52	37/104	35.6%		1	-	121	T	271
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	20/33	51/66	77.3%		1	66	133	T	465
2006 Governor	33/36	21/36	54/72	75.0%		1	66	81	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	149/177	72/177	221/354	62.4%

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