PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - HILLBILLY (O-GBR) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-10-01 Version:1

Prediction Map
HILLBILLY MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
HILLBILLY MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind2
 
Tos3
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+30+30-1-114216+2
Rep000-30-311112-3
Ind0+1+1000011+1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic192746
Republican124052
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
443014
piepiepie

Comments

Coonecticut; Lieberman to win, on cross party support + winning over Independents.
Rhode Island - if there is a Dem wave, then Chafee will be an unintended victim. But it could go either way here.
Virginia could get more interesting.
Tennessee to be close - but favour the GOP - just. It will be west TN, v. east TN.
Suspect Dems to carry Missouri - just. Because of stem cell issue.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 2 36 182T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 9/33 39/66 59.1% pie 1 36 268T343
P 2011 Governor 4/4 3/4 7/8 87.5% pie 1 100 2T106
P 2010 Senate 34/37 23/37 57/74 77.0% pie 7 1 100T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 21/37 56/74 75.7% pie 6 1 106T312
P 2008 President 52/56 38/56 90/112 80.4% pie 31 1 219T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 4 2 117T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 2 27T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 16/52 0/52 16/104 15.4% pie 1 - 211T271
P 2006 U.S. Senate 30/33 14/33 44/66 66.7% pie 1 37 299T465
P 2006 Governor 36/36 14/36 50/72 69.4% pie 3 16 132T312
Aggregate Predictions 336/388 190/388 526/776 67.8% pie


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