PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - Ernest (D-SC) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-05 Version:17

Prediction Map
Ernest MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Ernest MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Tos3
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+60+60-1-114216+5
Rep000-60-6819-6
Ind0+1+1000011+1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic222749
Republican94049
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
613328
piepiepie

Comments

After taking into account the tossups, my overall prediction is the GOP loses only 5 seats, not 6.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

 By: Aguagon (D-AZ) - 2006-11-09 @ 18:44:44

First place! Congratulations!

Whoops, spoke too soon...

Last Edit: 2006-11-19 @ 00:24:04
prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 411
P 2018 Senate 29/35 17/35 46/70 65.7% pie 1 356 362T483
P 2016 President 50/56 28/56 78/112 69.6% pie 14 10 325T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 19/34 49/68 72.1% pie 1 73 120T362
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 19 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 40/56 95/112 84.8% pie 48 1 314T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 26/33 58/66 87.9% pie 22 0 2T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 1 89T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 36/52 13/52 49/104 47.1% pie 18 - 75T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 2 3 21T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 29/37 62/74 83.8% pie 1 3 17T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 137 92T103
P 2008 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 79 1 100T1,505
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 28/33 61/66 92.4% pie 17 2 2465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 29/36 64/72 88.9% pie 16 2 6T312
P 2004 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 47 1 66T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 486/536 347/536 833/1072 77.7% pie


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