Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-05 Version:9

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	7
Ind	2
Tos	8
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-6
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	27	49
Republican	9	40	49
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
48	33	15

Comments

Final Prediction:
This is the "in my heart of hearts" prediction. Tossups are listed for what they are .. they could really go away, with my emotions deciding which I picked as a final call.

"Luck as falls, attack positions ... may the force be with us."-Red 3 Star Wars

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	48/56	36/56	84/112	75.0%	14	9	382	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%	4	9	172	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	1	345	212	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	43/52	20/52	63/104	60.6%	4	-	34	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	29/49	12/49	41/98	41.8%	4	-	91	T	235
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	2	21	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	15/33	48/66	72.7%	9	2	207	T	465
2006 Governor	32/36	21/36	53/72	73.6%	6	2	93	T	312
2004 President	49/56	30/56	79/112	70.5%	8	9	1285	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	275/329	159/329	434/658	66.0%

Links

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