Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:9

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	12
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+3	0	+3	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+2
Rep	0	0	0	-3	0	-3	11	1	12	-3
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	27	46
Republican	12	40	52
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
51	30	21

Comments

This is my final prediction for the Senate elections. The state predictions are the same as last time, the only differences are in margins and confidence. I predict the Senate breaks 52-48 Republican.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2023 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	1	2	108	T	115
2022 Senate	30/35	22/35	52/70	74.3%	7	1	243	T	305
2022 Governor	30/36	21/36	51/72	70.8%	7	1	228	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	1	7	1	T	118
2020 President	46/56	30/56	76/112	67.9%	5	6	655	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	23/35	54/70	77.1%	4	4	101	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%	3	6	211	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	2	3	14	T	192
2018 Senate	30/35	24/35	54/70	77.1%	8	0	106	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	29/36	61/72	84.7%	7	2	6	T	372
2017 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	1	2	98	T	149
2016 President	52/56	33/56	85/112	75.9%	8	0	66	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	20/34	51/68	75.0%	6	0	60	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	8/12	18/24	75.0%	6	0	3	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	4	1	8	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	27/36	62/72	86.1%	16	0	4	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%	16	0	22	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	4	1	1	T	153
2012 President	47/56	29/56	76/112	67.9%	11	1	702	T	760
2012 Senate	23/33	10/33	33/66	50.0%	5	1	319	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	4/11	13/22	59.1%	4	1	179	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	43/52	20/52	63/104	60.6%	25	-	27	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%	2	34	12	T	106
2010 Senate	33/37	24/37	57/74	77.0%	20	1	100	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	26/37	59/74	79.7%	20	1	59	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	2	10	1	T	103
2008 President	45/56	28/56	73/112	65.2%	21	0	791	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	22/33	52/66	78.8%	9	0	81	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	9	0	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	39/52	25/52	64/104	61.5%	15	-	33		271
2008 Rep Primary	41/49	22/49	63/98	64.3%	14	-	7	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	2	51	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	21/33	51/66	77.3%	9	1	133	T	465
2006 Governor	36/36	23/36	59/72	81.9%	9	1	36	T	312
2004 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%	18	1	49	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	860/994	582/994	1442/1988	72.5%

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