PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - whoblitzell (I-JPN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:9

Prediction Map
whoblitzell MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
whoblitzell MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Tos2
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+60+60-1-114216+5
Rep000-60-6819-6
Ind0+1+1000011+1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic222749
Republican94049
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
543321
piepiepie

Comments

Final prediction (no changes from previous prediction version)

This is likely to be one of the most partisan elections in the history of the country, possibly up there with 2000. However, I do not feel it will be as close as 2000.

High turnout means this is likely to be a wave election. I'm expecting that wave will side with the Democrats. But it is also possible that Republicans cut their losses to a few seats if the winds of fate side with them.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2016 President 50/56 28/56 78/112 69.6% pie 3 0 325T
P 2012 President 55/56 44/56 99/112 88.4% pie 6 1 146T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 20/33 52/66 78.8% pie 1 1 74T
P 2012 Rep Primary 8/52 2/52 10/104 9.6% pie 4 - 211T
P 2010 Senate 0/37 0/37 0/74 0.0% pie 9 -1 200
P 2010 Governor 35/37 24/37 59/74 79.7% pie 3 1 59T
P 2008 President 55/56 49/56 104/112 92.9% pie 87 0 1
P 2008 Senate 33/33 23/33 56/66 84.8% pie 11 1 14T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 5 1 27T
P 2008 Dem Primary 47/52 41/52 88/104 84.6% pie 77 - 1
P 2008 Rep Primary 42/49 31/49 73/98 74.5% pie 27 - 1
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 21/33 54/66 81.8% pie 9 1 65T
P 2004 President 50/56 29/56 79/112 70.5% pie 33 1 1285T
Aggregate Predictions 451/561 320/561 771/1122 68.7% pie


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