Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-04 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	15
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	7
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	-2	-2	14	1	15	-1
Rep	0	+1	+1	-1	0	-1	13	1	14	0
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	27	43
Republican	15	40	55
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
39	27	12

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Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-11-04 @ 20:34:13

Rhode Island is lean GOP? Pennsylvania a GOP win tossup? Last time I checked the Dems had double digit leads in those races.

By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-04 @ 20:59:30

It's pure optimism.

By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-11-05 @ 00:55:10

If Santorum wins re-election legally, then I will donate money to his next campaign. If he can pull an upset now then he's a far better politician than Bill Clinton and George Bush combined.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	51/56	37/56	88/112	78.6%	1	1	534	T	760
2012 Senate	28/33	10/33	38/66	57.6%	1	1	283	T	343
2011 Governor	3/4	1/4	4/8	50.0%	1	53	79	T	106
2010 Senate	30/37	16/37	46/74	62.2%	1	2	291	T	456
2008 President	47/56	24/56	71/112	63.4%	1	0	902	T	1,505
2007 Governor	2/3	0/3	2/6	33.3%	1	172	155	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	27/33	12/33	39/66	59.1%	2	3	393	T	465
2004 President	55/56	35/56	90/112	80.4%	3	1	219	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	243/278	135/278	378/556	68.0%

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