PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - dmurphy1984 (R-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-01 Version:5

Prediction Map
dmurphy1984 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
dmurphy1984 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep11
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos6
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+40+40-1-114216+3
Rep000-40-410111-4
Ind0+1+1000011+1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic202747
Republican114051
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
523121
piepiepie

Comments

This is my final prediction...I think George Allen, James Talent, and Bob Corker will all squeak out victories in these "red" states. Chafee, Burns, and Kean will all lose, but not by much. However, Santorum and DeWine are doomed, and I see both losing by >10 points. Lieberman should win CT easily, as he has led ever poll since wining the primary.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

 By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-11-02 @ 00:02:08

I would say that it looks pretty good for a final prediction. The only thing keeping me from making my final is the wierd stuff going on in Virginia now. Hopefully in a few days we will see if Webb or Allen stabilize. prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 1 12 24T483
P 2016 President 53/56 38/56 91/112 81.3% pie 1 1 8T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 18/34 49/68 72.1% pie 1 1 120T362
P 2014 Senate 36/36 26/36 62/72 86.1% pie 2 1 4T382
P 2012 President 50/56 39/56 89/112 79.5% pie 1 5 508T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 18/33 48/66 72.7% pie 1 0 144T343
P 2010 Senate 33/37 27/37 60/74 81.1% pie 4 0 54T456
P 2008 President 49/56 32/56 81/112 72.3% pie 3 7 474T1,505
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 21/33 52/66 78.8% pie 5 6 113T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 17/36 52/72 72.2% pie 1 176 107T312
P 2004 President 55/56 37/56 92/112 82.1% pie 15 11 126T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 436/468 297/468 733/936 78.3% pie


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