Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:51

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	0
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-6
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	27	49
Republican	9	40	49
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	33	19

Comments

My final Senate map, going to make it for no comments allowed. Don't have time to respond back.

I think with a heavy voter turnout it will help the Democrats, mainly. But with Tennessee going to Corker, R., it's going to be an evenly split Senate, with Lieberman in CT and Sanders in VT caucusing with the Democrats.

This follows most polls. Maryland, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Virginia and even Connecticut is still kind of close.

My revised prediction for the U.S. House:

+58 D -57 R -1 i

which will make a House of:

260 Democrats
175 Republicans

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	23/37	10/37	33/74	44.6%	3	325	441	T	456
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	2	2	56	T	103
2008 President	50/56	31/56	81/112	72.3%	98	1	474	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	14/33	45/66	68.2%	21	1	257	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	8	1	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	29/52	7/52	36/104	34.6%	8	-	124	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	21/49	1/49	22/98	22.4%	11	-	152	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	4	16	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	19/33	52/66	78.8%	51	1	113	T	465
2006 Governor	32/36	18/36	50/72	69.4%	44	1	132	T	312
2004 President	46/56	38/56	84/112	75.0%	114	1	834	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	280/368	148/368	428/736	58.2%

Links

Back to 2006 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home