PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - tetanurae (D-WA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:5

Prediction Map
tetanurae MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
tetanurae MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind1
 
Tos6
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+60+60-1-114216+5
Rep000-60-6819-6
Ind0+1+1000011+1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic222749
Republican94049
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
543321
piepiepie

Comments

Last update before the election. I still think there's about a 5% chance Tennessee could go for Ford, but I am not as hopeful as I was even two days ago. Everything else I think is pretty much in line with what all polling is showing.

ON EDIT: Since there's no House calculator, I'm predicting a Dems with 230-240 and Reps with 195-205.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 45/56 28/56 73/112 65.2% pie 1 86 496T678
P 2016 Senate 29/34 16/34 45/68 66.2% pie 1 86 277T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 4/12 12/24 50.0% pie 1 86 164T279
P 2012 President 56/56 45/56 101/112 90.2% pie 6 4 77T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 4 4 40T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 4 51T228
P 2008 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 14 12 139T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 19/33 52/66 78.8% pie 4 18 81T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 2 97 27T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 31/52 8/52 39/104 37.5% pie 3 - 110T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 37/49 20/49 57/98 58.2% pie 5 - 18T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 70 1T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 21/33 54/66 81.8% pie 5 1 65T465
P 2006 Governor 34/36 22/36 56/72 77.8% pie 3 4 58T312
P 2004 President 46/56 22/56 68/112 60.7% pie 12 12 1672T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 463/531 283/531 746/1062 70.2% pie


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