PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - gregdanielsonjr (R-AL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-04-27 Version:1

Prediction Map
gregdanielsonjr MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
gregdanielsonjr MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep19
 
Ind1
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind1
 
Tos9
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-3-1-412113-4
Rep+3+1+400014115+4
Ind0000000110


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic132740
Republican194059
Independent101
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
30228
piepiepie

Comments
No Comments Entered

Member Comments

 By: Smash255 (D-NY) - 2006-04-28 @ 00:14:29

How exactly did you come to this conclusion. And please explain Florida.prediction Map

 By: cm04g (I-FL) - 2006-07-24 @ 01:16:18

You are dead wrong about MI, PA, MD, FL.prediction Map

 By: Mike In MD (D-MD) - 2006-07-24 @ 11:34:27

I find it somewhat suspicious that all these maps with sometimes absurdly overoptimistic predictions of GOP gains appeared at about the same time.

And I've noticed a couple of unrealistic pro-Democratic projections here as well. What is going on?
prediction Map

 By: polpro (R-NV) - 2006-07-24 @ 11:42:37

I think two things happen: 1) some people have more than one prediction at any one time. 2) the overly optimistic predictions are not based on reality, but rather, wishful thinking.prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2008 President 47/56 23/56 70/112 62.5% pie 1 12 958T1,505
P 2008 Senate 27/33 11/33 38/66 57.6% pie 1 12 371T407
P 2006 U.S. Senate 22/33 8/33 30/66 45.5% pie 1 194 458T465
P 2004 President 49/56 28/56 77/112 68.8% pie 7 7 1407T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 145/178 70/178 215/356 60.4% pie


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