Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-04 Version:7

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	11
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	11
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+7	+3	+10	0	0	0	12	0	12	+10
Rep	0	0	0	-7	-3	-10	9	2	11	-10
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	36	58
Republican	11	26	37
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
46	31	15

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 1

I am assuming that John Kennedy will run against Sen. Mary Landrieu next year, and when he does, he is favored to win, given the Republican trend of the state.

And in Mississippi, if Democrats somehow get former Attorney General Mike Moore to run against incumbent Sen. Thad Cochran, that it will be a relatively close race, though I predict that in the end Cochran will prevail.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	35/36	18/36	53/72	73.6%	3	64	158	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	13/36	43/72	59.7%	1	149	192	T	300
2012 President	55/56	40/56	95/112	84.8%	7	7	314	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%	2	3	211	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	3/11	12/22	54.5%	1	32	196	T	228
2011 Governor	2/4	0/4	2/8	25.0%	1	332	100	T	106
2010 Senate	32/37	17/37	49/74	66.2%	4	135	242	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	18/37	51/74	68.9%	2	135	158	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	2	28	1	T	103
2008 President	54/56	34/56	88/112	78.6%	8	13	276	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	15/33	46/66	69.7%	7	31	227	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	2	332	50	T	264
2008 Rep Primary	27/49	3/49	30/98	30.6%	1	-	128	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	182	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	21/33	54/66	81.8%	16	2	65	T	465
2006 Governor	36/36	17/36	53/72	73.6%	11	6	93	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	423/473	224/473	647/946	68.4%

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