PredictionsEndorse2008 Senatorial Predictions - Liberalrocks (D-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-11 Version:4

Prediction Map
Liberalrocks MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Liberalrocks MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Tos5
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+3+3+600012012+6
Rep000-3-3-613215-6
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic183654
Republican152641
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
463115
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 2

The democrats pick up many seats in a landslide. Propelled by high voter turnout in the presidential election in which Hillary Clinton is narrowly elected. Many of these senate outcomes are razor thin and wont be known until the next day. Running on the presidents record and the republican candidate position to continue many of the same policies. Anti clinton sentiment in the south helps keep republican seats there however they loose elsewhere.


Version: 1

Democrats retain control and increase there hold on the senate running on the presidents record hurting incumbent republicans in democratic leaning states


Version History


Member Comments
 By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2008-10-11 @ 22:04:01
Minnesota will also be close but not as razor thin as the North Carolina race. I think Coleman will pull it off as Fraken is out of touch and represents liberal elitismprediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 292
P 2018 Senate 30/35 17/35 47/70 67.1% pie 5 0 334T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 25/36 58/72 80.6% pie 3 2 56T372
P 2016 President 48/56 29/56 77/112 68.8% pie 14 0 369T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 17/34 47/68 69.1% pie 7 0 213T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 6/12 15/24 62.5% pie 5 0 47T279
P 2014 Senate 33/36 24/36 57/72 79.2% pie 60 0 82T382
P 2014 Governor 29/36 17/36 46/72 63.9% pie 53 0 123T300
P 2012 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 97 1 77T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 48 0 40T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 12 0 24T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 44/52 26/52 70/104 67.3% pie 67 - 5T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 71 1 63T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 21/37 56/74 75.7% pie 44 5 106T312
P 2008 President 51/56 42/56 93/112 83.0% pie 53 1 139T1,505
P 2008 Senate 31/33 15/33 46/66 69.7% pie 4 24 227T407
P 2008 Governor 8/11 5/11 13/22 59.1% pie 2 17 232T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 49/52 18/52 67/104 64.4% pie 24 - 23T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 33/49 16/49 49/98 50.0% pie 7 - 55T235
Aggregate Predictions 595/672 378/672 973/1344 72.4% pie


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