Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-31 Version:8

Prediction Map

Ogre Mage Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Ogre Mage Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	13
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	+3	+8	0	0	0	12	0	12	+8
Rep	0	0	0	-5	-3	-8	11	2	13	-8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	20	36	56
Republican	13	26	39
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	33	19

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 3

Updated because Martin Chavez has dropped out of the N.M. Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate, clearing the field for Tom Udall.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	24/35	58/70	82.9%		1	86	97	T	305
2020 President	52/56	40/56	92/112	82.1%		6	5	307	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		6	3	66	T	423
2018 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%		3	0	24	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%		1	4	78	T	372
2016 President	49/56	32/56	81/112	72.3%		7	2	194	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	16/34	45/68	66.2%		8	6	277	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	3/12	12/24	50.0%		1	0	164	T	279
2014 Senate	33/36	20/36	53/72	73.6%		9	0	158	T	382
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	22	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		4	13	77	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%		8	2	74	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		1	2	51	T	228
2010 Senate	34/37	24/37	58/74	78.4%		10	2	86	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	26/37	61/74	82.4%		1	2	29	T	312
2008 President	53/56	40/56	93/112	83.0%		8	2	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	19/33	52/66	78.8%		8	4	81	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		4	10	50	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	17	1	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	573/614	398/614	971/1228	79.1%

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