PredictionsEndorse2008 Senatorial Predictions - eridniel (--MD) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-31 Version:6

Prediction Map
eridniel MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
eridniel MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind0
 
Tos2
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+5+3+800012012+8
Rep000-5-3-811213-8
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203656
Republican132639
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
573324
piepiepie

Analysis

Can the Demcorats hit 60 seats? The answer is not really. Even including Joe Leiberman who really isn't a Democrat any more, they would most likely have to knock off Senator Saxby Chambliss of Georgia in a runoff election in December. Chambliss, however, has a lot of money at his disposal and won't have to deal with the crush of first time voters voting for Obama in December that he will on November 4th. However, 60 seats including Leiberman remians a distinct possibility.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2014 Senate 33/36 25/36 58/72 80.6% pie 3 2 60T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 16/36 47/72 65.3% pie 3 2 97T300
P 2012 Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 2 3 111T343
P 2010 Senate 35/37 26/37 61/74 82.4% pie 5 1 34T456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 2 1 29T312
P 2008 President 53/56 46/56 99/112 88.4% pie 16 0 26T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 6 4 9T407
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 20/33 52/66 78.8% pie 2 6 113T465
P 2004 President 52/56 33/56 85/112 75.9% pie 12 16 706T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 335/357 235/357 570/714 79.8% pie


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