Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-31 Version:11

Prediction Map

applemanmat Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

applemanmat Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	14
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+3	+7	0	0	0	12	0	12	+7
Rep	0	0	0	-4	-3	-7	12	2	14	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	36	55
Republican	14	26	40
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
44	32	12

Analysis

Final Map

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	30/35	23/35	53/70	75.7%		1	4	224	T	305
2022 Governor	28/36	21/36	49/72	68.1%		1	4	241	T	272
2020 President	51/56	45/56	96/112	85.7%		12	7	130	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%		8	7	44	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	10/11	21/22	95.5%		3	13	1	T	293
2018 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%		1	3	246	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	25/36	56/72	77.8%		1	5	94	T	372
2016 President	52/56	32/56	84/112	75.0%		2	2	87	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	16/34	47/68	69.1%		2	2	213	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	6/12	16/24	66.7%		1	2	25	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	17/36	51/72	70.8%		10	5	200	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	15/36	47/72	65.3%		7	11	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	17	17	T	153
2012 President	50/56	36/56	86/112	76.8%		31	2	591	T	760
2012 Senate	28/33	16/33	44/66	66.7%		21	2	211	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	8/11	18/22	81.8%		11	1	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	14/52	49/104	47.1%		5	-	75	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		3	177	37	T	106
2010 Senate	33/37	24/37	57/74	77.0%		28	2	100	T	456
2010 Governor	36/37	28/37	64/74	86.5%		15	2	5	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	14	1	T	103
2008 President	51/56	40/56	91/112	81.3%		29	4	200	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	12/33	44/66	66.7%		11	4	281	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		6	4	86	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	664/752	444/752	1108/1504	73.7%

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