Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-31 Version:11

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	14
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+3	+7	0	0	0	12	0	12	+7
Rep	0	0	0	-4	-3	-7	12	2	14	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	36	55
Republican	14	26	40
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
44	32	12

Analysis

Final Map

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 10

The Democrates magic 60.

Georgia: Incumbent Republican is winning, but not even close to 50%.

Minnesota: You got incumbent Republican, Democratic comedian, and popular independent.

Oregon: Still close.

Version: 9

The best the Republicans can do.

Version: 8

The Most seates the Democrates can get.

Version: 6

Oregon: Republican Gordon Smith is faced with a difficult re-election.

Minnesota: Norm Coleman should win, but polls are mixed.

Lousiana: Democrat Mary Landrieu is in danger of losing her seat, but is still winning in the polls so far.

North Carolina: Rep. Dole should win, but is a pure toss up.

Version: 5

Version: 4

Oregon: Incumbent Republican may lose to Democrat

Alaska: Incumbent Republican likely to win

Louisiana: Incumbent Democrat likely to win

Version: 3

Ventura 08!

New Jersey is likely going to Lautenburg, but still needs to be watched.

In Alaska, it's likely the Republican incumbent will win, but due to corruption it may be close.

In Louisiana, the incumbent Democrat may lose in the Republican state.

Version: 2

Ventura 08!!!

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	30/35	23/35	53/70	75.7%	1	4	224	T	305
2022 Governor	28/36	21/36	49/72	68.1%	1	4	241	T	272
2020 President	51/56	45/56	96/112	85.7%	12	7	130	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%	8	7	44	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	10/11	21/22	95.5%	3	13	1	T	293
2018 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%	1	3	246	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	25/36	56/72	77.8%	1	5	94	T	372
2016 President	52/56	32/56	84/112	75.0%	2	2	87	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	16/34	47/68	69.1%	2	2	213	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	6/12	16/24	66.7%	1	2	25	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	17/36	51/72	70.8%	10	5	200	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	15/36	47/72	65.3%	7	11	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	17	17	T	153
2012 President	50/56	36/56	86/112	76.8%	31	2	591	T	760
2012 Senate	28/33	16/33	44/66	66.7%	21	2	211	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	8/11	18/22	81.8%	11	1	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	14/52	49/104	47.1%	5	-	75	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%	3	177	37	T	106
2010 Senate	33/37	24/37	57/74	77.0%	28	2	100	T	456
2010 Governor	36/37	28/37	64/74	86.5%	15	2	5	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	2	14	1	T	103
2008 President	51/56	40/56	91/112	81.3%	29	4	200	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	12/33	44/66	66.7%	11	4	281	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	6	4	86	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	664/752	444/752	1108/1504	73.7%

Links

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