PredictionsEndorse2008 Senatorial Predictions - shua (R-VA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-02 Version:4

Prediction Map
shua MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
shua MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind0
 
Tos9
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+3+500012012+5
Rep000-2-3-514216-5
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic173653
Republican162642
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
443014
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Ogre Mage (D-WA) 2008-11-02 @ 22:23:56
The idea that Sununu will win is fantasy. He has no chance. The rest of the map looks possible.

Last Edit: 2008-11-02 @ 22:28:31
prediction Map

 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2008-11-02 @ 22:56:57
Smith is done for as well. Confidence is all messed up. Pryor is unopposed in Ark - how is that a tossup, and tight races like GA & KY are not??

I commend you for giving Hagen the lean.
prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate 32/35 24/35 56/70 80.0% pie 7 0 147T305
P 2022 Governor 33/36 22/36 55/72 76.4% pie 5 1 173T272
P 2020 President 54/56 38/56 92/112 82.1% pie 21 6 307T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 19/35 50/70 71.4% pie 10 6 274T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 2 6 51T293
P 2019 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 146 35T192
P 2018 Senate 33/35 22/35 55/70 78.6% pie 3 1 67T483
P 2018 Governor 34/36 24/36 58/72 80.6% pie 1 3 56T372
P 2016 President 49/56 33/56 82/112 73.2% pie 5 1 149T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 17/34 48/68 70.6% pie 1 1 164T362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 7/12 17/24 70.8% pie 1 1 14T279
P 2014 Senate 34/36 24/36 58/72 80.6% pie 6 1 60T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 20/36 51/72 70.8% pie 5 0 22T300
P 2012 President 54/56 34/56 88/112 78.6% pie 16 0 534T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 20/33 52/66 78.8% pie 5 3 74T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 9/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 12 5T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 41/52 22/52 63/104 60.6% pie 28 - 27T231
P 2010 Senate 33/37 28/37 61/74 82.4% pie 13 1 34T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 23/37 56/74 75.7% pie 6 1 106T312
P 2008 President 47/56 30/56 77/112 68.8% pie 8 1 625T1,505
P 2008 Senate 30/33 14/33 44/66 66.7% pie 4 2 281T407
P 2008 Dem Primary 40/52 22/52 62/104 59.6% pie 13 - 36T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 23/49 64/98 65.3% pie 15 - 3T235
Aggregate Predictions 746/837 484/837 1230/1674 73.5% pie


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