PredictionsEndorse2008 Senatorial Predictions - JohnnyLongtorso (I-VA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:28

Prediction Map
JohnnyLongtorso MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
JohnnyLongtorso MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+5+3+800012012+8
Rep000-5-3-811213-8
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203656
Republican132639
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
603327
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 5

Moved NH to tossup, although I think Jeanne Shaheen still has the edge there. More seats moved to safe.


Version: 4

Landrieu's barely treading water now, so unless Kennedy self-destructs, he'll probably beat her.


Version: 3

Colorado and Louisiana switched to tossups.


Version: 2

Dem takeovers

NM: Udall defeats Wilson/Pearce.
CO: Udall defeats Schaffer.
VA: Warner defeats Gilmore.
NH: Shaheen defeats Sununu.

Rep holds

OR: Smith defeats Novick/Merkley.
ME: Collins defeats Allen.
MN: Coleman defeats Franken/Ciresi.

Dem holds

LA: Landrieu defeats ???.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 52/56 40/56 92/112 82.1% pie 2 56 307T684
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 3 4 47T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 3 4 11T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 2 9 24T228
P 2011 Governor 4/4 2/4 6/8 75.0% pie 2 70 12T106
P 2010 Senate 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 34 1 63T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 30/37 65/74 87.8% pie 24 2 1T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 4 2 1T103
P 2008 President 53/56 44/56 97/112 86.6% pie 18 1 55T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 27/33 60/66 90.9% pie 28 1 1T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 13 4 9T264
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 3 3 58T167
Aggregate Predictions 325/339 259/339 584/678 86.1% pie


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