I am now predicting that Jim Martin will outpoll Saxby Chambliss in the Georgia Senate race, though he will recieve less than 50% of the vote, and there will be a runoff in December.

Therefore, the 2008 cycle goes on another month to determine whether the Dems. obtain a 'fillibuster proof' majority.

Margins in KY and MN will also be razor thin, IMHO.

Finally an update, though mostly on confidence. The only result change is that of Georgia, to reflect that the race will remain undecided on Nov. 5, as neither candidate will garner an outright majority. There will be a runoff election in December. Therefore, including independents, the Democratic caucus will have 59 members, to 40 for the GOP. The last seat, potentially the Dems. 60th, will be determined in Dec.

This aside, the closest race currently appears to be in Minnesota. I still class MS-B and KY as toss-ups, though with a GOP tilt. Last minute campaigning by the Clintons in KY and black turnout in MS could turn the tide, however. I will update on Monday if necessary.

Tantilizingly close to a filibuster-proof majority. I'm afraid it will have to wait until 2012.

Stevens, under indictment, is going to get beat. Dem challangers in NM & Colorado have the upper hand. Oregon & Minn. still tossups, in additon to Wicker's seat in MS.

This is my first shot at this. A bit optimistic in Ore., and a bit pessimistic in NC, perhaps. Dems. will pickup 5-7 seats.

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