Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-01 Version:3

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	14
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	11
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+3	+7	0	0	0	12	0	12	+7
Rep	0	0	0	-4	-3	-7	12	2	14	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	36	55
Republican	14	26	40
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
53	32	21

Analysis

My last change in my 2008 Senatorial Elections prediction map. The only significant change I have made to my map is that I've moved Oregon, Lousiana and North Carolina into the Democratic column.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%	14	0	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	21/33	53/66	80.3%	3	3	57	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	2	0	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	44/52	21/52	65/104	62.5%	14	-	28	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	40/49	16/49	56/98	57.1%	15	-	21	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	137	58	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	184/204	105/204	289/408	70.8%

Links

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