Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:7
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 66)
Analysis
I still don't feel like the GOP is headed for a blood bath in the congressional elections despite the polls and the beltway conventional wisedom. I think a lot of people are mad at government and that includes the Democrats. Pelosi and Reid are as unpopular as Bush. The current do-nothing congress has an approval rating of what, 9%? No the GOP was punished in 2006 already. Having said that I think we'll loose seat simply because the make up of various races poses some serious challenges. But I don't see a Democratic supermajority either.
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