Comments History
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hideVersion: 14
Nevada: Leaning Republican, Reid isn't doing well. Local Democrats don't see him as an effective leader, and many view him unfavorably for some shady business transactions. Polls show Reid trailing all potential candidates at the moment, which is a sure sign that his political career is in danger.
California: From "Strong Democrat" to "Leaning Democrat". The Golden State could be somewhat competitive this year. Polls show Democrat incumbent Barbra Boxer leading most candidates only by single digits. Republican front runners include former HP Corp. CEO Carly Fiorina, former congressman Tom Campbell, and State assembly member Chuck DeVore. However, Boxer still has noticeable leads over all her potential opponents, keeping her state out of play for now.
Indiana: Moving from "Safe Democrat" to "Safe Republican". After populoar moderate Democrat Evan Bayh announced his retirement, polls showed voters switching over in large numbers to the Republican candidate (who will be determined later). In short, bad luck for Democrats.
Delaware: Moving from toss-up to Lean Republican after Beau Biden, the son of Joe Biden, has decided not to run in the special election. Biden Jr. said he was too focused on his job as Delaware's AG. Mike Castle, the popular moderate Republican (who represents Delaware in the House of Representatives) announced that he would be a candidate for the seat. Things look tough for Democrats.
Connecticut: Because Dodd is retiring I'm moving Connecticut from "lean Republican" to "Safe Democrat". It is known for being a liberal state, and the only reason it was leaning the other way is because Connecticut doesn't like Dodd after his dealings with Lobbyists and the controversy of the AIG bonuses. Popular Connecticut attorney general Richard Blumenthal announced he would run for Dodd's vacated senate senate seat. He leads all potential Republican candidates (aka Linda McMahon, Peter Schiff , and Rob Simmons) by very wide margins in the polls. Merrick Alpert, a former adviser to Al Gore and Bill Clinton, has also announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination, but I need more polling info on him.
Colorado: Changing from toss-up to lean Republican. Democratic senator Michael Bennet will face re-election after being appointed to Ken Salazar's vacant seat. The list of Republican challengers is still large, and polls show him trailing almost all of them. The front runner for the Republican nomination is former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton, a hardcore conservative. Her leads my be exaggerated (polls aren't as accurate early on), but Norton has clear leads over Bennet. Democrats will have a run for their money in Rocky Mountain Empire.
North Dakota: Is changing from "Lean Republican" to "Strong Republican. It was thought that the Democrats could run a moderate to replace the retiring Byron Dorgan, but polls now show voters prefer the Republican candidate over the Democrat. Game over in the Roughrider State? Probably.
Pennsylvania: Toss-up. Arlen Spectre is a long serving senator from the state. However, after his stunning switch to the Democratic party, nobody knows what to think of him. Is he a true Democrat, or just switching to avoid an impossible Republican primary? His lack of a strong party base will put this senior senator on the ropes, as polls between him and his former Republican primary opponent Pat Toomey are tight.
Arkansas: Lean Republican to Strong Republican. Health care has really dragged down Blanche Lincoln in her state. Polls show her trailing the potential Republican candidates by large margins, many over 20%. If Lincoln doesn't drop out now, Democrats will have no chance of keeping this seat in November.
Note: Many of these polls are probably not very accurate because it's only February. Many people haven't had the time to explore all the candidates.
I hope that my current analysis I've provided will be useful and informative. I will add more analysis on other races as well when I have the time. Peace
Version: 13
Nevada: Leaning Republican, Reid isn't doing well. Local Democrats don't see him as an effective leader, and many view him unfavorably for some shady business transactions. Polls show Reid trailing all potential candidates at the moment, which is a sure sign that his political career is in danger.
California: From "Strong Democrat" to "Leaning Democrat". The Golden State could be somewhat competitive this year. Polls show Democrat incumbent Barbra Boxer leading most candidates only by single digits. Republican front runners include former HP Corp. CEO Carly Fiorina, former congressman Tom Campbell, and State assembly member Chuck DeVore. However, Boxer still has noticeable leads over all her potential opponents, keeping her state out of play for now.
Delaware: Moving from toss-up to Lean Republican after Beau Biden, the son of Joe Biden, has decided not to run in the special election. Biden Jr. said he was too focused on his job as Delaware's AG. Mike Castle, the popular moderate Republican (who represents Delaware in the House of Representatives) announced that he would be a candidate for the seat. Things look tough for Democrats.
Connecticut: Because Dodd is retiring I'm moving Connecticut from "lean Republican" to "Safe Democrat". It is known for being a liberal state, and the only reason it was leaning the other way is because Connecticut doesn't like Dodd after his dealings with Lobbyists and the controversy of the AIG bonuses. Popular Connecticut attorney general Richard Blumenthal announced he would run for Dodd's vacated senate senate seat. He leads all potential Republican candidates (aka Linda McMahon, Peter Schiff , and Rob Simmons) by very wide margins in the polls. Merrick Alpert, a former adviser to Al Gore and Bill Clinton, has also announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination, but I need more polling info on him.
Colorado: Changing from toss-up to lean Republican. Democratic senator Michael Bennet will face re-election after being appointed to Ken Salazar's vacant seat. The list of Republican challengers is still large, and polls show him trailing almost all of them. The front runner for the Republican nomination is former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton, a hardcore conservative. Her leads my be exaggerated (polls aren't as accurate early on), but Norton has clear leads over Bennet. Democrats will have a run for their money in Rocky Mountain Empire.
North Dakota: Is changing from "Lean Republican" to "Strong Republican. It was thought that the Democrats could run a moderate to replace the retiring Byron Dorgan, but polls now show voters prefer the Republican candidate over the Democrat. Game over in the Roughrider State? Probably.
Pennsylvania: Toss-up. Arlen Spectre is a long serving senator from the state. However, after his stunning switch to the Democratic party, nobody knows what to think of him. Is he a true Democrat, or just switching to avoid an impossible Republican primary? His lack of a strong party base will put this senior senator on the ropes, as polls between him and his former Republican primary opponent Pat Toomey are tight.
Arkansas: Lean Republican to Strong Republican. Health care has really dragged down Blanche Lincoln in her state. Polls show her trailing the potential Republican candidates by large margins, many over 20%. If Lincoln doesn't drop out now, Democrats will have no chance of keeping this seat in November.
Note: Many of these polls are probably not very accurate because it's only February. Many people haven't had the time to explore all the candidates.
I hope that my current analysis I've provided will be useful and informative. I will add more analysis on other races as well when I have the time. Peace
Version: 11
Nevada: Leaning Republican, Reid isn't doing well. Local Democrats don't see him as an effective leader, and many view him unfavorably for some shady business transactions. Polls show Reid trailing all potential candidates at the moment, which is a sure sign that his political career is in danger.
California: From "Strong Democrat" to "Leaning Democrat". The Golden State could be somewhat competitive this year. Polls show Democrat incumbent Barbra Boxer leading most candidates only by single digits. Republican front runners include former HP Corp. CEO Carly Fiorina, former congressman Tom Campbell, and State assembly member Chuck DeVore. However, Boxer still has noticeable leads over all her potential opponents, keeping her state out of play for now.
Delaware: Moving from toss-up to Lean Republican after Beau Biden, the son of Joe Biden, has decided not to run in the special election. Biden Jr. said he was too focused on his job as Delaware's AG. Mike Castle, the popular moderate Republican congressman, will have little trouble if the Democrats don't find somebody fast.
Connecticut: Because Dodd is retiring I'm moving Connecticut from "lean Republican" to "Safe Democrat". It is known for being a liberal state, and the only reason it was leaning the other way is because Connecticut doesn't like Dodd after his dealings with Lobbyists and the controversy of the AIG bonuses. Popular Connecticut attorney general Richard Blumenthal announced he would run for Dodd's vacated senate senate seat. He leads all potential Republican candidates (aka Linda McMahon, Peter Schiff , and Rob Simmons) by very wide margins in the polls. Merrick Alpert, a former adviser to Al Gore and Bill Clinton, has also announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination, but I need more polling info on him.
Colorado: Changing from toss-up to lean Republican. Democratic senator Michael Bennet will face re-election after being appointed to Ken Salazar's vacant seat. The list of Republican challengers is still large, and polls show him trailing almost all of them. The front runner for the Republican nomination is former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton, a hardcore conservative. Her leads my be exaggerated (polls aren't as accurate early on), but Norton has clear leads over Bennet. Democrats will have a run for their money in Rocky Mountain Empire.
North Dakota: Is changing from "Lean Republican" to "Strong Republican. It was thought that the Democrats could run a moderate to replace the retiring Byron Dorgan, but polls now show voters prefer the Republican candidate over the Democrat. Game over in the Roughrider State? Probably.
Pennsylvania: Toss-up. Arlen Spectre is a long serving senator from the state. However, after his stunning switch to the Democratic party, nobody knows what to think of him. Is he a true Democrat, or just switching to avoid an impossible Republican primary? His lack of a strong party base will put this senior senator on the ropes, as polls between him and his former Republican primary opponent Pat Toomey are tight.
Arkansas: Toss-up. Although some polls show Blanche Lincoln behind by a large margin (10% to 8%), but all of these polls were provided by Rasmussen Polls(their polls tend to trend more favorably Republican than the other pollsters). However, all other pollsters are reporting a dead heat at this time. Although Arkansas Democrats should be worrisome at the moment, some polls may not be that accurate. I will wait until I see more data.
Note: Many of these polls are probably not very accurate because it's only February. Many people haven't had the time to explore all the candidates.
I hope that my current analysis I've provided will be useful and informative. I will add more analysis on other races as well when I have the time. Peace
Version: 10
Nevada: Leaning Republican, Reid isn't doing well. Local Democrats don't see him as an effective leader, and many view him unfavorably for some shady business transactions. Polls show Reid trailing all potential candidates at the moment, which is a sure sign that his political career is in danger.
Delaware: Moving from toss-up to Lean Republican after Beau Biden, the son of Joe Biden, has decided not to run in the special election. Biden Jr. said he was too focused on his job as Delaware's AG. Mike Castle, the popular moderate Republican congressman, will have little trouble if the Democrats don't find somebody fast.
Connecticut: Because Dodd is retiring I'm moving Connecticut from "lean Republican" to "Safe Democrat". It is known for being a liberal state, and the only reason it was leaning the other way is because Connecticut doesn't like Dodd after his dealings with Lobbyists and the controversy of the AIG bonuses. Popular Connecticut attorney general Richard Blumenthal announced he would run for Dodd's vacated senate senate seat. He leads all potential Republican candidates (aka Linda McMahon, Peter Schiff , and Rob Simmons) by very wide margins in the polls. Merrick Alpert, a former adviser to Al Gore and Bill Clinton, has also announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination, but I need more polling info on him.
Colorado: Toss-up. Democratic senator Michael Bennet will face re-election after being appointed to Ken Salazar's vacant seat. The list of Republican challengers is still large. I need more polling data.
North Dakota: Is changing from "Lean Republican" to "Strong Republican. It was thought that the Democrats could run a moderate to replace the retiring Byron Dorgan, but polls now show voters prefer the Republican candidate over the Democrat. Game over in the Roughrider State? Probably.
Pennsylvania: Toss-up. Arlen Spectre is a long serving senator from the state. However, after his stunning switch to the Democratic party, nobody knows what to think of him. Is he a true Democrat, or just switching to avoid an impossible Republican primary? His lack of a strong party base will put this senior senator on the ropes, as polls between him and his former Republican primary opponent Pat Toomey are tight.
Arkansas: Toss-up. Although some polls show Blanche Lincoln behind by a large margin (10% to 8%), but all of these polls were provided by Rasmussen Polls(their polls tend to trend more favorably Republican than the other pollsters). However, all other pollsters are reporting a dead heat at this time. Although Arkansas Democrats should be worrisome at the moment, some polls may not be that accurate. I will wait until I see more data.
Note: Many of these polls are probably not very accurate because it's only February. Many people haven't had the time to explore all the candidates.
I hope that my current analysis I've provided will be useful and informative. I will add more analysis on other races as well when I have the time. Peace
Version: 9
Nevada: Leaning Republican, Reid isn't doing well. Local Democrats don't see him as an effective leader, and many view him unfavorably for some shady business transactions. Polls show Reid trailing all potential candidates at the moment, which is a sure sign that his political career is in danger.
Delaware: Moving from toss-up to Lean Republican after Beau Biden, the son of Joe Biden, has decided not to run in the special election. Biden Jr. said he was too focused on his job as Delaware's AG. Mike Castle, the popular moderate Republican congressman, will have little trouble if the Democrats don't find somebody fast.
Connecticut: Because Dodd is retiring I'm moving Connecticut from "lean Republican" to "Safe Democrat". It is known for being a liberal state, and the only reason it was leaning the other way is because Connecticut doesn't like Dodd after his dealings with Lobbyists and the controversy of the AIG bonuses. Popular Connecticut attorney general Richard Blumenthal announced he would run for Dodd's vacated senate senate seat. He leads all potential Republican candidates (aka Linda McMahon, Peter Schiff , and Rob Simmons) by very wide margins in the polls. Merrick Alpert, a former adviser to Al Gore and Bill Clinton, has also announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination, but I need more polling info on him.
Colorado: Toss-up. Democratic senator Michael Bennet will face re-election after being appointed to Ken Salazar's vacant seat. The list of Republican challengers is still large. I need more polling data.
North Dakota: Is changing from "Lean Republican" to "Strong Republican. It was thought that the Democrats could run a moderate to replace the retiring Byron Dorgan, but polls now show voters perfer the Republican candidate over the Democrat. Game over in the Roughrider State? Probably.
Pennsylvania: Toss-up. Arlen Spectre is a long serving senator from the state. However, after his stunning switch to the Democratic party, nobody knows what to think of him. Is he a true Democrat, or just switching to avoid an impossible Republican primary? His lack of a strong party base will put this senior senator on the ropes, as polls between him and his former Republican primary opponent Pat Toomey are tight.
Arkansas: Toss-up. Although some polls show Blanche Lincoln behind by a large margin (10% to 8%), but all of these polls were provided by Rassamussen Polls(their polls tend to trend more favorably Republican than the other pollsters). However, all other pollsters are reporting a dead heat at this time. Although Arkansas Democrats should be worrisome at the moment, some polls may not be that accurate. I will wait until I see more data.
Note: Many of these polls are probably not very accurate because it's only January. Many people haven't had the time to explore all the candidates.
I hope that my current analysis I've provided will be useful and informative. I will add more analysis on other races as well when I have the time. Peace
Version: 8
Nevada: Leaning Republican, Reid isn't doing well. Local Democrats don't see him as an effective leader, and many view him unfavorably for some shady business transactions. Polls show Reid trailing all potential candidates at the moment, which is a sure sign that his political career is in danger.
Delaware: Moving from toss-up to Lean Republican after Beau Biden, the son of Joe Biden, has decided not to run in the special election. Biden Jr. said he was too focused on his job as Delaware's AG. Mike Castle, the popular moderate Republican congressman, will have little trouble if the Democrats don't find somebody fast.
Connecticut: Because Dodd is retiring I'm moving Connecticut from "lean Republican" to "Safe Democrat". It is known for being a liberal state, and the only reason it was leaning the other way is because Connecticut doesn't like Dodd after his dealings with Lobbyists and the controversy of the AIG bonuses. Popular Connecticut attorney general Richard Blumenthal announced he would run for Dodd's vacated senate senate seat. He leads all potential Republican candidates (aka Linda McMahon, Peter Schiff , and Rob Simmons) by very wide margins in the polls. Merrick Alpert, a former adviser to Al Gore and Bill Clinton, has also announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination, but I need more polling info on him.
Colorado: Toss-up. Democratic senator Michael Bennet will face re-election after being appointed to Ken Salazar's vacant seat. The list of Republican challengers is still large. I need more polling data.
North Dakota: Is changing from "Strong Democrat" to "Lean Republican", after Byron Dorgan announced his retirement. Byron stated "...decision [was] not a reflection of any dissatisfaction with my work in the Senate, nor [was] it connected to a potential election contest [in the fall of 2010] (frankly, I believe if I were to run for another term I would be reelected)." The only potential Democratic replacement right now is Heidi Heitkamp, the state's former Attorney General, while the Republicans may nominate former senate candidate Duane Sand, or the popular governor of the state John Hoeven. Polls show if Hoeven runs, he is very likely to win.
Pennsylvania: Toss-up. Arlen Spectre is a long serving senator from the state. However, after his stunning switch to the Democratic party, nobody knows what to think of him. Is he a true Democrat, or just switching to avoid an impossible Republican primary? His lack of a strong party base will put this senior senator on the ropes, as polls between him and his former Republican primary opponent Pat Toomey are tight.
Arkansas: Toss-up. Although some polls show Blanche Lincoln behind by a large margin (10% to 8%), but all of these polls were provided by Rassamussen Polls(their polls tend to trend more favorably Republican than the other pollsters). However, all other pollsters are reporting a dead heat at this time. Although Arkansas Democrats should be worrisome at the moment, some polls may not be that accurate. I will wait until I see more data.
Note: Many of these polls are probably not very accurate because it's only January. Many people haven't had the time to explore all the candidates.
I hope that my current analysis I've provided will be useful and informative. I will add more analysis on other races as well when I have the time. Peace
Version: 4
Nevada: Leaning Republican, Reid isn't doing well. Local Democrats don't see him as an effective leader, and many view him unfavorably for some shady business transactions. Polls show Reid trailing all potential candidates at the moment, which is a sure sign that his political career is in danger.
Delaware: Moving from toss-up to Lean Republican after Beau Biden, the son of Joe Biden, has decided not to run in the special election. Biden Jr. said he was too focused on his job as Delaware's AG. Mike Castle, the popular moderate Republican congressman, will have little trouble if the Democrats don't find somebody good fast.
Connecticut: Because Dodd is retiring I'm moving Connecticut from "lean Republican" to "Safe Democrat". It is known for being a liberal state, and the only reason it was leaning the other way is because Connecticut doesn't like Dodd after his dealings with Lobbyists and the controversy of the AIG bonuses. Popular Connecticut attorney general Richard Blumenthal announced he would run for Dodd's vacated senate senate seat. He leads all potential Republican candidates (aka Linda McMahon, Peter Schiff , and Rob Simmons) by very wide margins in the polls. Merrick Alpert, a former adviser to Al Gore and Bill Clinton, has also announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination, but I need more polling info on him.
Colorado: Toss-up. Democratic senator Michael Bennet will face re-election after being appointed to Ken Salazar's vacant seat. The list of Republican challengers is still large. I need more polling data.
North Dakota: Is changing from "Strong Democrat" to "Lean Republican", after Byron Dorgan announced his retirement. Byron stated "...decision [was] not a reflection of any dissatisfaction with my work in the Senate, nor [was] it connected to a potential election contest [in the fall of 2010] (frankly, I believe if I were to run for another term I would be reelected)." The only potential Democratic replacement right now is Heidi Heitkamp, the state's former Attorney General, while the Republicans may nominate former senate candidate Duane Sand, or the popular governor of the state John Hoeven. Polls show if Hoeven runs, he is very likely to win.
Arkansas: Toss-up. Although some polls show Blanche Lincoln behind by a large margin (10% to 8%), but all of these polls were provided by Rassamussen Polls(their polls tend to trend more favorably Republican than the other pollsters). However, all other pollsters are reporting a dead heat at this time. Although Arkansas Democrats should be worrisome at the moment, some polls may not be that accurate. I will wait until I see more data.
Note: Many of these polls are probably not very accurate because it's only January. Many people haven't had the time to explore all the candidates.
I hope that my current analysis I've provided will be useful and informative. I will add more analysis on other races as well when I have the time. Peace
Version: 3
Nevada: Leaning Republican, Reid isn't doing well. Local Democrats don't see him as an effective leader, and many view him unfavorably for some shady business transactions. Polls show Reid trailing all potential candidates at the moment, which is a sure sign that his political career is in danger.
Delaware: Moving from toss-up to Safe Republican after Beau Biden, the son of Joe Biden, has decided not to run in the special election. Biden Jr. said he was too focused on his job as Delaware's AG. Mike Castle, the popular moderate Republican congressman, will have little trouble if the Democrats don't find somebody good fast.
Connecticut: Because Dodd is retiring I'm moving Connecticut from "lean Republican" to "Safe Democrat". It is known for being a liberal state, and the only reason it was leaning the other way is because Connecticut doesn't like Dodd after his dealings with Lobbyists and the controversy of the AIG bonuses. Popular Connecticut attorney general Richard Blumenthal announced he would run for Dodd's vacated senate senate seat. He leads all potential Republican candidates (aka Linda McMahon, Peter Schiff , and Rob Simmons) by very wide margins in the polls. Merrick Alpert, a former adviser to Al Gore and Bill Clinton, has also announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination, but I need more polling info on him.
Colorado: Toss-up. Democratic senator Michael Bennet will face re-election after being appointed to Ken Salazar's vacant seat. The list of Republican challengers is still large. I need more polling data.
North Dakota: Is changing from "Strong Democrat" to "Lean Republican", after Byron Dorgan announced his retirement. Byron stated "...decision [was] not a reflection of any dissatisfaction with my work in the Senate, nor [was] it connected to a potential election contest [in the fall of 2010] (frankly, I believe if I were to run for another term I would be reelected)." The only potential Democratic replacement right now is Heidi Heitkamp, the state's former Attorney General, while the Republicans may nominate former senate candidate Duane Sand, or the popular governor of the state John Hoeven. Polls show if Hoeven runs, he is very likely to win.
Arkansas: Toss-up. Although some polls show Blanche Lincoln behind by a large margin (10% to 8%), but all of these polls were provided by Rassamussen Polls(their polls tend to trend more favorably Republican than the other pollsters). However, all other pollsters are reporting a dead heat at this time. Although Arkansas Democrats should be worrisome at the moment, some polls may not be that accurate. I will wait until I see more data.
Note: Many of these polls are probably not very accurate because it's only January. Many people haven't had the time to explore all the candidates.
I hope that my current analysis I've provided will be useful and informative. I will add more analysis on other races as well when I have the time. Peace
Version: 2
Nevada: Reid isn't doing well. Local Democrats don't see him as an effective leader, and many view him unfavorably for some shady business transactions. Polls show Reid trailing all potential candidates at the moment, which is a sure sign that his political career is in danger.
Connecticut: Because Dodd is retiring I'm moving Connecticut from "lean Republican" to "Safe Democrat". It is known for being a liberal state, and the only reason it was leaning the other way is because Connecticut doesn't like Dodd after his dealings with Lobbyists and the controversy of the AIG bonuses. Popular Connecticut attorney general Richard Blumenthal announced he would run for Dodd's vacated senate senate seat. He leads all potential Republican candidates (aka Linda McMahon, Peter Schiff , and Rob Simmons) by very wide margins in the polls. Merrick Alpert, a former adviser to Al Gore and Bill Clinton, has also announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination, but I need more polling info on him.
North Dakota: Is changing from "Strong Democrat" to "Lean Republican", after Byron Dorgan announced his retirement. Byron stated "...decision [was] not a reflection of any dissatisfaction with my work in the Senate, nor [was] it connected to a potential election contest [in the fall of 2010] (frankly, I believe if I were to run for another term I would be reelected)." The only potential Democratic replacement right now is Heidi Heitkamp, the state's former Attorney General, while the Republicans may nominate former senate candidate Duane Sand, or the popular governor of the state John Hoeven. Polls show if Hoeven runs, he is very likely to win.
Arkansas: I made the mistake of putting Arkansas in the "Lean Democrat" before (again, my bad) and after reading some of the polls, I've decided to put it into the "Toss-up" column. Although the polls show Blanche Lincoln behind by a large margin (10% to 8%), but all of these polls were provided by Rassamussen Polls(their polls tend to trend more favorably Republican than the other pollsters). Although Arkansas Democrats should be worrisome at the moment, the polls may not be that accurate. Although many of these polls are probably not very accurate because it's only January. Many people haven't had the time to explore all the candidates.
I hope that my current analysis I've provided will be useful and informative. I will add more analysis on other races as well when I have the time. Peace