GOP gains of 8-9... possibly only 7, possibly 10... It appears that Manchin is back on top in WV and Buck and Angle are slightly ahead in CO and NV, respectively... WA is coming down to the wire with recent polls not looking good for Murray... Boxer looks like she has pulled it out again in CA... Not sure about Alaska between Murkowski and Miller.

Senate GOP gains 8-9... Not sure what to make of West Virginia, but perhaps Manchin has stopped the bleeding? House still looks bad...

Not many changes to Senate races... Have to wait to make a better decision on Washington state... Boxer still vulnerable, but has the advantage... Angle looks to be pulling slightly ahead... Kirk appears to be slightly ahead as well... Feingold and Manchin look in bad shape. O'Donnell should still be institutionalized.

Manchin in Trouble in WV...

Boxer/Murray holding their own...

McMahon coming on stronger in CT...

O'Donnell still practicing withcraft in DE...

Based on RCP averages...

CA tilts Boxer
IL tilts Kirk

True Tossup- WV and NV...

Senate predictions look better for Dems after nomination of O'Donnell and apparent surge of Murray in WA... On the contrary, House looks increasingly bad as more safe/likely dem seats go lean/tossup

Likely Dem Pickups: DE-AL, LA-2

Possible Dem Pickups: HI-1, IL-10, WA-8

Likely GOP Pickups: AL-2, AR-1, AR-2, AZ-1, AZ-5, AZ-8, CO-3, CO-4, FL-8, FL-24, IA-3,IL-11, IL-14, IN-8, IN-9, KS-3, LA-3, MD-1, MI-1, MI-7, MO-4, MS-1, NV-3, NH-1, NH-2, NM-1, NM-2, NY-24, NY-29, NC-8, ND-AL, OH-1, OH-15, OH-16, OH-18, PA-3, PA-7, PA-11, SC-5, SD-AL, TN-6, TN-8, TX-17, VA-2, VA-5, WA-3, WI-7,

Possible GOP pickups: CA-11, CO-7, FL-2, ID-1, IL-17, IN-2, KY-3, NC-11, NY-1, NY-19, NY-20, OH-13, PA-12 TN-4, VA-11, WI-8

GOP House pickups 40-45 seats

Still predicting a net gain of approximately 6-8 seats, perhaps 9. In the face of a very mobilized GOP base, depressed Dem base and continued economic instability the GOP is set to make major gains, though it is still unlikely (at this time-subject to change) that the GOP would retake the Senate. The Obama adminsitration is increasingly out of touch with reality, and has failed to deliver on any campaign promises (including job creation and healthcare).

GOP retains seats in KY, OH, FL, MO and NH

Defintite GOP pickups...

ND- Hoeven should be an easy pick-up.

DE- Castle should win easily

NV- Reid is in serious trouble and any GOPer would be credible against him.

AR- Same situation with Lincoln as Reid

CO- Bennett also faces same fate as Lincoln and Reid


Possible/Likely GOP pickups...

PA- Specter who was once favored looks very much in trouble against Toomey

IL- A moderate GOPer, Kirk will likely have a narrow advantage (per polling and turnout) against the TBA Dem candidate

Races to Watch...

IN- Bayh looks increasingly vulnerable against any GOPer, polling under 50%

NY-S- Provided a run by Pataki, Gillibrand is quite vulnerable in this blue state.

WI- Feingold could be vulnerable in this swing state, have yet to see any polling

CA- Boxer is likely safe at the time, but provided the MA election, CA could be competitve with a moderate GOPer. Fiorina might be too conservative.


GOP House pickups... 30-35 seats at this time... not enough for the GOP to swing the House (at this time), but looks like a 50-50 chance going into the future.

Certainly a good year to be a Republican, in that despite any type of leadership and a party that is further right than its ever been, the failures of the Obama administration in regards to fixing the economy, creating jobs, ending the wars, and producing some type of meaningful healthcare reform appear to negate the problems in the GOP... Now naturally, Mr. Obama cant fix all the problems this country has, but he did promise err.. pander to do so and his most ardent err.. arrogant supporters were dumb enough to believe it!!! Of course the rest of us were just maligned as "racist hicks" when we questioned his authenticity (but that is water under the bridge now, right?) lol... NO.. Not until war reparations are made from the 2008 farce of a primary.

So turnout is key, but my predicition is that the GOP does well, but retakes neither the House nor Senate because the party has been pushed so far right that it is simply not viable in the Northeast or West Coast, where it would need to pick off some Dem districts. The GOP will take control of the majority of Governships.. In the Seante OH, NH, KY, FL will stay GOP despite retirements... MO, will be close, but due to low Dem turnout will also go GOP... The GOP will pick up NV, AR, DE, CO, and ND at this time.. PA, and IL are also very much likely to be GOP pickups, but might still lean Dem at the time.. CT will likely remain Dem, with the departure of Dodd. "Call me Senator" Boxer will likely retain her seat, narrowly...

The Dems will likely lose 25-30 House seats due to high GOP motivation, the unpopularity of Mr. Obama in the South and Rust Belt, and liberal demoralization due to the lack of leadership and inaction on the part of Mr. Obama.. Ohio will flip 3 seats to the GOP.. OH-1, OH-15, and OH-16, all freshman Dems... OH-18 is also a possibility provided a viable GOP candidate...