Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-02 Version:12

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	10
Rep	27
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	8
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	11
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-4	-9	7	3	10	-9
Rep	+5	+4	+9	0	0	0	10	8	18	+9
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	10	38	48
Republican	27	23	50
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
55	33	22

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 11

Just under 1 month to go before the elections.

Version: 5

Wow, MA went for Brown. I never saw that coming. Anyway some updates now. IL is holding primaries tomorrow (February 2). Right now, I think the Republicans would narrowly win, but we will find out how the primary goes, as I have no idea how the primary will go.

Version: 4

In MA, Coakley (D) defeats Brown (R) 51 to 49.

Version: 3

In MA, Coakley (D) defeats Brown (R) 55 to 45.

Version: 2

In MA, Coakley (D) defeats Brown (R) 60 to 40.

Version: 1

Test prediction.

This is not my final map; I will update as the elections draw near.

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%	2	1	37	T	106
2010 Senate	33/37	22/37	55/74	74.3%	12	0	133	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%	12	0	59	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	7	8	56	T	103
Aggregate Predictions	72/80	49/80	121/160	75.6%

User Info

	officepark Forum Profile
	officepark Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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