PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Predictions - rocker2004 (D-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-02 Version:15

Prediction Map
rocker2004 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
rocker2004 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep22
 
Ind1
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Tos13
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1-3-3-69413-5
Rep+3+3+60-2-210616+4
Ind0+1+1000000+1


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic143852
Republican222345
Independent123
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
523418
piepiepie

Analysis

Illinois Republican Senate candidate Mark Kirk is a centrist in the Abraham Lincoln mold.
Alaska Republican Senate candidate Joe Miller and his Nevada counterpart, Sharron Angle, are both extremists.
Indiana Senate candidate Dan Coats had been a Senator from 1989-1999.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 476
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 256
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 177
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 191
P 2018 Senate 31/35 19/35 50/70 71.4% pie 4 18 246T483
P 2018 Governor 30/36 19/36 49/72 68.1% pie 2 20 241T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 116 40T149
P 2016 President 50/56 31/56 81/112 72.3% pie 6 1 194T678
P 2016 Senate 28/34 13/34 41/68 60.3% pie 9 1 336T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 3/12 12/24 50.0% pie 2 1 164T279
P 2014 Senate 29/36 17/36 46/72 63.9% pie 11 1 273T382
P 2014 Governor 24/36 10/36 34/72 47.2% pie 6 1 289T300
P 2012 President 55/56 40/56 95/112 84.8% pie 15 13 314T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 14/33 43/66 65.2% pie 14 72 221T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 4/11 15/22 68.2% pie 2 107 131T228
P 2010 Senate 34/37 18/37 52/74 70.3% pie 15 0 181T456
P 2010 Governor 26/37 12/37 38/74 51.4% pie 3 78 248T312
P 2008 President 50/56 28/56 78/112 69.6% pie 3 240 574T1,505
P 2008 Senate 30/33 13/33 43/66 65.2% pie 2 240 303T407
P 2007 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 147 102T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 7/33 38/66 57.6% pie 3 8 402T465
P 2006 Governor 28/36 11/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 183 261T312
P 2004 President 48/56 33/56 81/112 72.3% pie 7 9 1142T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 547/638 295/638 842/1276 66.0% pie


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