PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Predictions - doniki80 (I-OH) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:73

Prediction Map
doniki80 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
doniki80 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep26
 
Ind0
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem9
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind0
 
Tos4
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-4-4-88311-8
Rep+4+4+800010818+8
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic113849
Republican262349
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
543420
piepiepie

Analysis

GOP gains of 8-9... possibly only 7, possibly 10... It appears that Manchin is back on top in WV and Buck and Angle are slightly ahead in CO and NV, respectively... WA is coming down to the wire with recent polls not looking good for Murray... Boxer looks like she has pulled it out again in CA... Not sure about Alaska between Murkowski and Miller.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: doniki80 (I-OH) 2010-11-01 @ 09:45:18 prediction Map
GOP pickups 60-70... Dems will be lucky if they keep losses to 55.. could be in the 70's

Lean Dem Pickups: DE-AL, HI-1, LA-2

Lean GOP, could be competitive: AZ-3, IL-10, FL-25

Lean GOP Pickups: AL-2, AR-1, AR-2, AZ-1, AZ-5, AZ-8, CA-11, CA-20, CO-3, CO-4, CT-5, FL-2, FL-8, FL-22, FL-24, GA-8, IL-11, IL-14, IL-17, IN-8, IN-9, KS-3, LA-3, MD-1, MI-1, MI-7, MI-9, MS-1, MS-4, NC-2, NC-7, NC-8, NC-11, ND-AL, NH-1, NJ-3, NM-2, NY-19, NY-20, NY-23, NY-29, NV-3, OH-1, OH-15, OH-16, OH-18, OR-5, PA-3, PA-7, PA-8, PA-10, PA-11, SC-5, SD-AL, TN-4, TN-6, TN-8, TX-17, TX-23 VA-2, VA-5, VA-9, WA-3, WI-7, WI-8, WV-1

Lean Dem/Could be competitive: AR-4, AZ-7, CA-18, CA-47, CT-4, CO-7, GA-2, GA-12, IA-1, IA-2, IA-3, ID-1, IL-8, IN-2, MA-4, MA-10, ME-1, ME-2, MI-15, MN-1, MN-8, MO-4, MS-2, NC-4, NH-2, NM-1, NM-3, NY-1, NY-13, NY-22, NY-24, NY-25, OH-6, PA-4, PA-12, TX-27, VA-11, WA-2, WA-6, WA-9, WI-3



User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 247
P 2018 Senate 33/35 23/35 56/70 80.0% pie 25 1 42T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 24/36 56/72 77.8% pie 21 3 94T372
P 2016 President 51/56 36/56 87/112 77.7% pie 53 1 35T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 18/34 50/68 73.5% pie 33 1 89T362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 5/12 15/24 62.5% pie 5 1 47T279
P 2014 Senate 34/36 17/36 51/72 70.8% pie 56 0 200T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 13/36 43/72 59.7% pie 40 0 192T300
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 96 1 47T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 26 2 20T343
P 2012 Rep Primary 16/52 6/52 22/104 21.2% pie 3 - 187T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 20/37 54/74 73.0% pie 73 1 151T456
P 2010 Governor 36/37 19/37 55/74 74.3% pie 50 2 118T312
P 2008 President 53/56 46/56 99/112 88.4% pie 80 1 26T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 16 4 117T407
P 2008 Dem Primary 46/52 26/52 72/104 69.2% pie 10 - 7T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 10/49 3/49 13/98 13.3% pie 1 - 195T235
Aggregate Predictions 537/650 343/650 880/1300 67.7% pie



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