PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Predictions - Ronnie (D-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-02 Version:29

Prediction Map
Ronnie MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Ronnie MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep26
 
Ind0
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Tos9
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-4-4-88311-8
Rep+4+4+800010818+8
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic113849
Republican262349
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
603426
piepiepie

Analysis

The control of the senate is currently hinging on West Virginia, California, and Washington State. At this point, I believe the Democrats will hold onto all three by slim margins, but the Republicans are by no means out of contention in these states.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2018 Senate 33/35 26/35 59/70 84.3% pie 15 1 4T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 25/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 3 56T372
P 2016 President 48/56 33/56 81/112 72.3% pie 38 2 194T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 20/34 52/68 76.5% pie 9 2 35T362
P 2012 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 10 1 77T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 24/33 55/66 83.3% pie 8 1 20T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 4 51T228
P 2010 Senate 34/37 26/37 60/74 81.1% pie 29 0 54T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 22 0 17T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 3 53 56T103
P 2008 President 53/56 44/56 97/112 86.6% pie 64 1 55T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 30 1 117T407
P 2008 Governor 9/11 8/11 17/22 77.3% pie 16 19 86T264
Aggregate Predictions 406/437 305/437 711/874 81.4% pie



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