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PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Predictions - jesouss (R-PR) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-26 Version:2

Prediction Map
jesouss MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
jesouss MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep29
 
Ind0
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep29
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-6-5-11628-11
Rep+6+5+1100010818+11
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic83846
Republican292352
Independent022
 pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
533122
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: applemanmat (L-VA) 2010-10-26 @ 21:48:30 prediction Map
Best possible Republican scenerio?
 By: CR (--MO) 2010-10-27 @ 19:42:32 prediction Map
Agreed applemanmat.

It would require the perfect storm and for the voter turnout on our side to be on the upper end of my predicted spectrum but this is the map I think we could get if everything, and I mean everything, goes our way. The probability of this map? I'm uncertain. This whole year has been full of surprises and we are in a strong position right now. Some races, like those on the West Coast seem unlikely to come our way, but if the wave starts early in the east and carries west who knows.

Like I said we need the perfect conditions, but right now this would be the high mark in my mind.

Last Edit: 2010-10-27 @ 19:43:24

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 49/56 43/56 92/112 82.1% pie 1 6 307T684
P 2020 Senate 30/35 24/35 54/70 77.1% pie 1 4 101T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 1 6 51T293
P 2014 Senate 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 1 1 60T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 20/36 51/72 70.8% pie 1 1 22T300
P 2012 President 46/56 28/56 74/112 66.1% pie 1 1 710T760
P 2012 Senate 25/33 5/33 30/66 45.5% pie 1 1 329T343
P 2012 Governor 6/11 1/11 7/22 31.8% pie 1 1 225228
P 2010 Senate 31/37 22/37 53/74 71.6% pie 2 7 167T456
P 2010 Governor 27/37 18/37 45/74 60.8% pie 1 152 214T312
P 2004 President 48/56 35/56 83/112 74.1% pie 2 7 926T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 339/404 226/404 565/808 69.9% pie


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