PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Predictions - BushCountry (I-IN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-31 Version:93

Prediction Map
BushCountry MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
BushCountry MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep25
 
Ind1
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem9
 
pie
Rep21
 
Ind1
 
Tos6
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-4-4-88311-8
Rep+4+4+80-1-110717+7
Ind0+1+1000000+1


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic113849
Republican252348
Independent123
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
613526
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-10-31 @ 17:23:56 prediction Map
TOP 5 RACES TO WATCH:
1)ILLINOIS
2)COLORADO
3)NEVADA
4)WEST VIRGINIA
5)PENNSYLVANIA

 By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-10-31 @ 17:28:06 prediction Map
California and Washington are moving out of reach for the GOP. If The GOP were to put each of the top 5 into their column (adding West Virginia), they'd need to take California or Washington. Money is still flowing into these states, but they look likely to be Dem retentions though much closer races than Boxer or Murray are used. Boxer and Murray will probably win by 1-5 points.

 By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-10-31 @ 17:29:39 prediction Map
In Alaska the NRSC is coming to grips with the prospect of Murkowski coming back to the Senate as a write-in candidate. History in the making, but unlikely the results will be known immediately from counting write-in ballots. Still a GOP hold.

 By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-10-31 @ 17:36:14 prediction Map
After Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas, Feingold in Wisconsin is the next Dem incumbent likely to lose. The GOP is set to hold all of their open seats. Incumbents such as Vitter in Louisiana and Burr in North Carolina who would have been vulnerable in another cycle, will easily stomp their opponents. The Dems best chance at taking an open GOP seat in Kentucky faded with the "Aqua Buddha" flop. Dem challengers in Ohio, Missouri and New Hampshire have been effectively dead for a long time. In Florida, Rubio is comfortably ahead, Crist and Meek are in a strong fight for second place. Revelations that Clinton tried to oust Meek from the race in a last ditch effort to boost Crist have backfired.

 By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-10-31 @ 17:39:00 prediction Map
Linda McMahon in Connecticut proves that money isn't everything as she looks likely to lose to Richard Blumenthal. Likewise, O'Donnell's run in Delaware has been nothing short of pathetic and the GOP really blew a seat that should have been ripe for the taking. But as a result of that, the GOP will likely stay in the minority, but a very power minority at near parity with the Dems. Onward, for 2012!

 By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-10-31 @ 17:44:01 prediction Map
Indiana and North Dakota, are GOP pickup 1 and 2, but they scarcely are worth mentioning because the Republican candidates have been well ahead for months and the races have been very stable and very quiet because they are OVER. Noteworthy only for being states where popular Red State Dems decided to flee and leave their party in the lurch rather than face their toughest re-election battles.

 By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-11-01 @ 10:41:07 prediction Map
For once in this site's history, an aggregate map has a chance of being accurate!

 By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-11-01 @ 17:47:16 prediction Map
Polling is so stable right now, I don't think I need to change my map. This is probably my final map.

 By: CR (--MO) 2010-11-01 @ 20:13:04 prediction Map
Good wrap up BushCountry.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 33/35 23/35 56/70 80.0% pie 46 4 42T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 18/36 50/72 69.4% pie 45 6 226T
P 2016 President 51/56 38/56 89/112 79.5% pie 63 1 17T
P 2016 Senate 32/34 24/34 56/68 82.4% pie 55 1 1
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 25 1 25T
P 2014 Senate 33/36 26/36 59/72 81.9% pie 34 1 42T
P 2014 Governor 30/36 16/36 46/72 63.9% pie 31 0 123T
P 2012 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 157 0 401T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 20/33 50/66 75.8% pie 66 0 111T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 21 0 5T
P 2012 Rep Primary 42/52 18/52 60/104 57.7% pie 105 - 41T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 5 0 37T
P 2010 Senate 35/37 26/37 61/74 82.4% pie 93 2 34T
P 2010 Governor 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 94 1 59T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 14 1 1T
P 2008 President 52/56 42/56 94/112 83.9% pie 183 1 115T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 101 1 28T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 43 1 86T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 8 2 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 24/33 55/66 83.3% pie 94 1 46T
P 2006 Governor 33/36 28/36 61/72 84.7% pie 103 1 22T
P 2004 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 140 2 49T
Aggregate Predictions 646/705 459/705 1105/1410 78.4% pie



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