Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2009-11-29 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	12
Rep	24
Ind	0
Non	1

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	11
Rep	19
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	1

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-4	-2	-6	12	0	12	-6
Rep	+4	+2	+6	0	0	0	12	6	18	+6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	12	38	50
Republican	24	23	47
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
44	29	15

Analysis

If the North Dakota governor decides to take on Byron Dorgan, add one more to the GOP column.

If Guiliani challenges Gillebrand, it will be tight.

If unemployment is still above 9% Boxer may be in trouble in CA.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	29/37	15/37	44/74	59.5%	1	338	321	T	456
2004 President	55/56	33/56	88/112	78.6%	5	8	359	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	84/93	48/93	132/186	71.0%

Links

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