PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Predictions - jjnolla (R-PR) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-31 Version:4

Prediction Map
jjnolla MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
jjnolla MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem9
 
pie
Rep28
 
Ind0
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep25
 
Ind0
 
Tos4
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-5-5-10729-10
Rep+5+5+1000010818+10
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic93847
Republican282351
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
38326
piepiepie

Analysis

In Alaska, I see Murkowski winning by a small margin.
Washington and California are still tossups, but if there's a wave coming in from the East Coast and its evident from the very early returns, they could end up in the "R" column.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 31/35 15/35 46/70 65.7% pie 2 19 362T
P 2016 President 50/56 33/56 83/112 74.1% pie 2 52 114T
P 2016 Senate 32/34 17/34 49/68 72.1% pie 1 64 120T
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 221 8T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 10/36 45/72 62.5% pie 2 21 282T
P 2014 Governor 30/36 16/36 46/72 63.9% pie 1 21 123T
P 2012 President 50/56 37/56 87/112 77.7% pie 1 350 561T
P 2010 Senate 32/37 6/37 38/74 51.4% pie 4 2 408T
P 2010 Governor 23/37 8/37 31/74 41.9% pie 1 47 290T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 23/33 10/33 33/66 50.0% pie 2 122 445T
P 2006 Governor 22/36 12/36 34/72 47.2% pie 1 122 297T
P 2004 President 48/56 31/56 79/112 70.5% pie 1 10 1285T
Aggregate Predictions 378/455 197/455 575/910 63.2% pie



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