Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-04 Version:3

Prediction Map

vern1988 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

vern1988 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	14
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	7
Ind	1
Tos	10
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-1	-3	-4	14	3	17	-4
Rep	+1	+3	+4	0	-1	-1	6	3	9	+3
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	17	30	47
Republican	14	37	51
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 2

Didn't mean to put TN as a toss-up.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	30/35	18/35	48/70	68.6%		9	9	280	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	19/36	50/72	69.4%		2	41	235	T	272
2021 Governor	/2	/2	/4	0.0%			2459527			118
2020 President	52/56	40/56	92/112	82.1%		10	7	307	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	19/35	52/70	74.3%		7	5	194	T	423
2020 Governor	8/11	5/11	13/22	59.1%		4	142	275	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	0/3	1/6	16.7%		1	16	179	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	21/35	54/70	77.1%		8	26	106	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	19/36	49/72	68.1%		5	28	241	T	372
2016 President	50/56	21/56	71/112	63.4%		10	2	552	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	17/34	47/68	69.1%		5	0	213	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		2	0	67	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	23/36	57/72	79.2%		12	12	82	T	382
2014 Governor	28/36	17/36	45/72	62.5%		2	62	145	T	300
2012 President	50/56	36/56	86/112	76.8%		6	11	591	T	760
2012 Senate	27/33	12/33	39/66	59.1%		3	33	268	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		3	0	89	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	32/52	9/52	41/104	39.4%		7	-	106	T	231
Aggregate Predictions	488/575	287/575	775/1150	67.4%

User Info

	vern1988 Forum Profile
	vern1988 Senatorial Endorsements

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