Date of Prediction: 2012-10-07 Version:51
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
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Version: 65 Hang on! GOP closes closer is razor wire Senate contest. Version: 64 One week out and the Senate is poised to stay in Democratic hands, although only barely. Still, with enough seats in play to make Republican control possible, with this close a margin. In particular, in Missouri MsCaskill continues to lead Akin, however the incumbent is still below 50% in many polls and she hasn't pulled away from Akin in the state the Romney will likely carry by a comfortable margin. And in Montana, Tester is locked in a very close race in a state that Romney is also likely to carry by at least a few points. Tester and McCaskill are looking for a number of cross over votes at the finish. Version: 63 Senate is all tied up. Version: 62 GOP has regained some ground now. King (I-Maine) will be tie breaking senator. Version: 56 Democats continuing to move forward on the Senate map. Version: 55 In a stunning reversal. Democrats have turned the tables on the GOP completely, picking at least one seat. Democrats have absolutely made the most of a bad hand and performed superlatively, with good campaigns, candidates, and a successful marshalling of resources, including an effective utilization of SuperPACs. Version: 52 Democrats have really beaten back to parity this cycle, after being down as many as five or six seats at certain points in the cycle. However, this map understates Republican gains. I predict McMahon will upset Murphy in Connecticut. It should be counted as a gain for the GOP. GOP net one seat. Democrats lose a seat. Independants stay even (really two Democrat seats). Version: 48 Senate Shocker! For first time this cycle, Democrats pickup seats. Heading for rout, with Obama cruising at top of ticket. Version: 47 Democrats have really turned the tables this cycle. Starting with a weak hand and lots of turf to defend, they esentially break even and staunch all losses. A huge coup if this hold up. One month to go. Version: 33 It's over for Akin in Missouri. Version: 18 Democrats sink even further, reaching their nadir for the year. Version: 16 Democrats reach their nadir for the year. Version: 1 Republicans win back Senate if Romney elected president.
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