Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-15 Version:4

Prediction Map

Ickey415 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Ickey415 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	25
Rep	6
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	6
Ind	2
Tos	7
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+2	+4	0	-1	-1	15	5	20	+3
Rep	0	+1	+1	-2	-3	-5	4	1	5	-4
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	25	30	55
Republican	6	37	43
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis

Angus King I-ME will caucus with the Dems.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%		2	54	280	T	305
2020 President	51/56	39/56	90/112	80.4%		4	41	392	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	18/35	48/70	68.6%		2	27	337	T	423
2016 President	46/56	22/56	68/112	60.7%		9	29	590	T	678
2016 Senate	26/34	7/34	33/68	48.5%		4	104	359		362
2014 Senate	28/36	14/36	42/72	58.3%		7	9	308	T	382
2014 Governor	26/36	10/36	36/72	50.0%		4	24	276	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	167	17	T	153
2012 President	56/56	36/56	92/112	82.1%		9	12	435	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	18/33	49/66	74.2%		4	22	128	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	9/52	44/104	42.3%		11	-	98	T	231
Aggregate Predictions	360/431	193/431	553/862	64.2%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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