Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-29 Version:4

Prediction Map

sjoycefla Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

sjoycefla Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	11
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	7
Ind	2
Tos	4
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-1	-2	-3	14	4	18	-1
Rep	+1	+2	+3	-1	-1	-2	5	3	8	+1
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	20	30	50
Republican	11	37	48
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	1	74	T	115
2022 Senate	31/35	28/35	59/70	84.3%		1	0	69	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	25/36	57/72	79.2%		2	0	130	T	272
2020 President	53/56	35/56	88/112	78.6%		7	5	480	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	15/35	47/70	67.1%		5	3	358	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		3	6	51	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		2	4	1	T	192
2016 President	43/56	20/56	63/112	56.3%		2	1	634	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	17/34	46/68	67.6%		3	1	252	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		2	1	67	T	279
2014 Senate	26/36	16/36	42/72	58.3%		1	264	308	T	382
2014 Governor	26/36	14/36	40/72	55.6%		3	18	241	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	229	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%		10	8	182	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%		4	8	144	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%		2	92	157	T	228
Aggregate Predictions	393/455	254/455	647/910	71.1%

User Info

	sjoycefla Forum Profile
	sjoycefla Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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