Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-02 Version:7

Prediction Map

lysander Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

lysander Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	10
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	6
Ind	2
Tos	9
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+2	+3	-1	-2	-3	14	4	18	0
Rep	+1	+2	+3	-1	-2	-3	5	2	7	0
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	21	30	51
Republican	10	37	47
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	31/35	28/35	59/70	84.3%		6	1	69	T	305
2022 Governor	30/36	20/36	50/72	69.4%		9	3	235	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	34	48	T	118
2020 President	52/56	43/56	95/112	84.8%		25	8	179	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	23/35	54/70	77.1%		17	6	101	T	423
2019 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	4	130	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	21/35	54/70	77.1%		11	31	106	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	24/36	56/72	77.8%		4	3	94	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	116	40	T	149
2016 President	52/56	36/56	88/112	78.6%		32	1	27	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	21/34	52/68	76.5%		10	7	35	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	5/12	13/24	54.2%		5	3	119	T	279
2014 Senate	33/36	23/36	56/72	77.8%		12	251	99	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	17/36	48/72	66.7%		3	328	73	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%		3	60	98	T	153
2012 President	55/56	44/56	99/112	88.4%		34	1	146	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	21/33	52/66	78.8%		7	4	74	T	343
Aggregate Predictions	456/505	329/505	785/1010	77.7%

User Info

	lysander Forum Profile
	lysander Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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