Date of Prediction: 2012-11-03 Version:16
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Analysis
Democrats will hold their current margin in the Senate or gain one seat. It all comes down to Montana/Wisconsin.
Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 9 Polls show we may have a perfect-storm in the Senate, and potentially expand our margin (assuming King will caucus with the Dems). Version: 7 A bit of an optimistic map. One of the more likely best case scenarios for the Democrats. Version: 6 Assuming Akin stays in, this race has gone from toss-up to lean Democrat. Version: 5 Bad news out of Missouri but good news out of Wisconsin. Win some, lose some. Version: 4 Rasmussen shows Baldwin leading the entire field in Wisconsin. North Dakota appears to be a toss-up/lean Heitkamp. It's still unlikely but it looks like the Democrats could potentially maintain the current balance of power 53/47 or even expand their majority! Version: 3 A little optimistic. If the election were held today I believe we'd lose Montana and North Dakota, with Missouri being razor thin. Version: 1 A strong Democratic scenario. Obama wins with an impressive victory and has coattails in Virginia, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Florida, propelling the Democratic nominees to the finish line.
Version History Member Comments User's Predictions
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