Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-04 Version:2

Prediction Map

kgt107 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

kgt107 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	13
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	10
Ind	2
Tos	7
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-1	-4	-5	14	2	16	-3
Rep	+1	+4	+5	-1	-1	-2	5	3	8	+3
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	30	48
Republican	13	37	50
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	32/35	27/35	59/70	84.3%		1	0	69	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	28/36	62/72	86.1%		1	0	23	T	272
2020 President	52/56	36/56	88/112	78.6%		2	9	480	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	15/35	48/70	68.6%		3	4	337	T	423
2018 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		1	0	170	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	27/36	58/72	80.6%		1	2	56	T	372
2016 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%		1	0	114	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	22/34	53/68	77.9%		1	0	16	T	362
2014 Senate	36/36	26/36	62/72	86.1%		1	14	4	T	382
2012 President	51/56	38/56	89/112	79.5%		4	4	508	T	760
2012 Senate	28/33	15/33	43/66	65.2%		2	2	221	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		1	14	89	T	228
2010 Senate	32/37	21/37	53/74	71.6%		7	1	167	T	456
2010 Governor	30/37	20/37	50/74	67.6%		7	1	168	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	482/533	334/533	816/1066	76.5%

Links

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