Date of Prediction: 2012-11-04 Version:6
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Analysis
Final Map
Prediction History
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Version: 5 Updated. Version: 4 The most likely path back to a Republican controlled Senate in the wake of the Akin debacle. Of course if Akin would drop out then the unpopular McCaskill would be quiet vulnerable. As it stands she'll coast to reelection in November. Version: 3 Updated Version: 2 This is my second rough draft map for the senate races. I'll make a more detailed version once we start to narrow down who the actual candidates are and see some better polling data. Version: 1 My first pass through the Senatorial races. Based mostly on what little polling data we have and some gut feelings. I'll go through a do a more detailed map version later on.
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