PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - KS21 (I-KS) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:36

Prediction Map
KS21 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
KS21 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem23
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Tos5
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+2+40-2-215419+2
Rep0+2+2-2-2-4426-2
Ind0+1+10-1-11010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic233053
Republican83745
Independent202
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2012-11-05 @ 17:02:21 prediction Map
This is my preliminary final (sorry if that sounds nonsensical) map. I may make a few changes tomorrow. A few races, such as NV and MT, I go off of gut instinct, much as I did in CO and NV in 2010. We'll see how this turns out. I am very tempted to change ND to Democratic, I think the polls don't say as much about that race as they do in other states. I hope that enough Romney-Dalymple voters will select Heitkamp as a way to not vote a straight-GOP ticket. WI, VA, and MT will be close in almost any scenario.

 By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2012-11-06 @ 01:43:08 prediction Map
Im going out on a limb and predicting a Heitkamp win, I know its a red state but she has run a very strong campaign and has a postive reputation at the end of it, if she loses its a pure partisan vote but I think she can win.

 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2012-11-06 @ 07:45:57 prediction Map
I'm changing my map to Heitkamp as well. My gut is telling me Heitkamp will somehow make it in the end...


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 1 338 23T684
P 2018 Senate 31/35 24/35 55/70 78.6% pie 5 2 67T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 27/36 60/72 83.3% pie 3 3 18T372
P 2016 President 47/56 26/56 73/112 65.2% pie 7 0 496T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 7 1 164T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 2 1 67T279
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 110 72T112
P 2014 Senate 29/36 22/36 51/72 70.8% pie 48 1 200T382
P 2014 Governor 29/36 16/36 45/72 62.5% pie 25 1 145T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 5 2 1T153
P 2012 President 56/56 46/56 102/112 91.1% pie 28 0 47T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 27/33 59/66 89.4% pie 37 0 1343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 5 0 51T228
P 2011 Governor 4/4 3/4 7/8 87.5% pie 28 5 2T106
P 2010 Senate 37/37 30/37 67/74 90.5% pie 203 0 2T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 146 0 17T312
Aggregate Predictions 441/484 326/484 767/968 79.2% pie



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