Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-06 Version:16

Prediction Map

thebadger Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

thebadger Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	10
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	4
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+2	+3	-1	-2	-3	14	4	18	0
Rep	+1	+2	+3	-1	-2	-3	5	2	7	0
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	21	30	51
Republican	10	37	47
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis

final predictions

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 3

changed Maine to Ind, Nevada to R

Version: 2

MA, VA to R
ME to D

Version: 1

a few guesses here

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						244
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	277	74	T	115
2022 Senate	32/35	29/35	61/70	87.1%		3	0	37	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	30/36	65/72	90.3%		2	0	2	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		2	23	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	40/56	93/112	83.0%		25	5	260	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		6	3	194	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		4	6	51	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		3	4	1	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	26/35	59/70	84.3%		4	1	4	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	27/36	59/72	81.9%		4	3	38	T	372
2017 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	116	98	T	149
2016 President	50/56	31/56	81/112	72.3%		71	0	194	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	22/34	54/68	79.4%		18	0	6	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%		18	0	164	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		5	0	8	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	25/36	60/72	83.3%		5	1	21	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	21/36	52/72	72.2%		4	1	15	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		3	8	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%		48	0	47	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	20/33	51/66	77.3%		16	0	94	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		11	0	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	45/52	27/52	72/104	69.2%		64	-	3		231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		5	1	37	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%		26	0	34	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	22/37	57/74	77.0%		26	0	91	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		7	1	1	T	103
2008 President	53/56	44/56	97/112	86.6%		65	0	55	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%		17	1	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		11	1	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	43/52	18/52	61/104	58.7%		27	-	38	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	38/49	18/49	56/98	57.1%		26	-	21	T	235
2004 President	54/56	30/56	84/112	75.0%		16	1	834	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	841/922	586/922	1427/1844	77.4%

User Info

	thebadger Forum Profile
	thebadger Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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