Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-05-09 Version:12

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	16
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	12
Ind	2
Tos	9
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-4	-4	-8	11	2	13	-6
Rep	+4	+4	+8	-1	-1	-2	6	2	8	+6
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	30	45
Republican	16	37	53
Independent	2	0	2

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 8

I predict that the Republicans will win back the Senate and keep the House in 2012 with 54 Republican seats 44 Democratic seats and 2 Independent seats.

Version: 7

I predict that the Republicans will win back the Senate and keep the House in 2012 with 54 Republican seats 44 Democratic seats and 2 Independent seats.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	29/56	79/112	70.5%	9	393	280	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	17/34	48/68	70.6%	6	343	164	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	7/12	15/24	62.5%	3	343	47	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	2	143	72	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%	21	1	42	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	18/36	50/72	69.4%	18	1	39	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	136	17	T	153
2012 President	48/56	28/56	76/112	67.9%	84	5	702	T	760
2012 Senate	25/33	13/33	38/66	57.6%	27	3	283	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%	3	43	131	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	40/52	20/52	60/104	57.7%	57	-	41	T	231
2011 Governor	3/4	2/4	5/8	62.5%	3	14	37	T	106
2010 Senate	31/37	17/37	48/74	64.9%	48	1	265	T	456
2010 Governor	31/37	18/37	49/74	66.2%	41	2	179	T	312
2008 President	48/56	21/56	69/112	61.6%	4	12	1031	T	1,505
Aggregate Predictions	393/465	223/465	616/930	66.2%