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PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - malevolentmuse (D-FL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-09-24 Version:1

Prediction Map
malevolentmuse MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
malevolentmuse MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Tos3
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-1-2-314418-1
Rep+1+2+3-1-2-35270
Ind0+1+1000101+1


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic213051
Republican103747
Independent202
 pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments
 By: malevolentmuse (D-FL) 2012-09-24 @ 16:21:18 prediction Map
Democrats should not be able to do this, but they will maintain their hold on the Senate, but likely for only two more years. 2014 is definitely in the Republicans favor in regards to number of seats each party has up for grabs. That said, we all said that leading up to 2012 as well and that doesn't seem to be headed in the direction we all expected.
 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2012-09-24 @ 16:32:21 prediction Map
Your percentages are way off. If Donnelly breaks 80 and Heinrich gets over 70, I'd be stunned to the point of a heart attack.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2012 President 56/56 3/56 59/112 52.7% pie 2 42 751760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 9/33 40/66 60.6% pie 1 43 252T343
Aggregate Predictions 87/89 12/89 99/178 55.6% pie



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